RE:RE:Break It - Brits - Uncertain Times - VOLATILITY The VIX would likely go down if Remain wins. The FTSE, DAX and NIKK would likely rally big. The SP will likely rally but not to the extent like the other major markets.
The rate hike will likely be back in focus. If BREXIT wins, it’s like the end of any rate hike. Otherwise, it’s back to the FED’s wait and see approach which tends to help the markets
The August –January period for 2014 and 2015 has been bad for the markets caused mostly by falling commodity prices. 2016 is following 2015 so far. So if it’s the same playbook, we can expect some volatility and falling oil in the coming months including the presidential elections.
The perfect storm of BREXIt and Trump could put protectionism back in focus and do a number on the markets.