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SILVER WHEATON CORP. T.SLW

"Silver Wheaton is a pure, unhedged paper proxy on silver prices with a unique business model. The company purchases silver for sale through long-term purchase contracts from counterparties. Currently, the company has long-term silver purchase contracts with more than a dozen mines. Silver Wheaton purchased and sold roughly 28 million silver-equivalent ounces in 2012 through its purchase sales contracts."


TSX:SLW - Post by User

Post by materialsgirlon Jul 01, 2016 11:34am
164 Views
Post# 25015388

The market is always right

The market is always rightExcept when it is not of course.
 As of today the ration of silver to gold is 69:1    If you have 69 ounces of gold it has the same value as one ounce of gold.  Over a century the ratio has been between 10:1 and 100:1  but is recent decades the ratio has hovered around 60:1 for much of the time.
Silver production is now declining and is likely to continue to decline for at least 4 or 5 years.

My own expectation is that the ratio will meander between 50"1 and 60:1 as we go towards 2025.
If this happens it would mean that silver would gain on gold

Key 2016 metrics

SLW  revenue may surpass $1b for the first time ever (current gold and silver prices)
40% gold
60% silver roughly
2016 attributable production (streaming)
265,000  gold
478,000 gold equivalent from 33 million ounces of silver
750,000 gold equivalent roughly in 2016 

FNV may have revenue of about $600m  (60% of SLW)
69% gold
20% silver
6%   PGM 
5%  oil gas and misc

~ 450,000 of gold equivalent (incl oil and misc)  Includes streams and traditional royalties

SLW is about 65% to 70% bigger AND SLW only has streaming royalties

The market cap of SLW (on the surface) should be 70% bigger but should be even more so as FNV has a lot of plain old royalties (2% NSR etc)

But ... FNV has a bigger market cap than SLW.  Go figure.

This is so out of whack with reality.  It will self correct over time and I sense that that timeline may be closer than most people think

mat
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