target prices are future expectations based on future commodity prices and or other operating paramters.
they should not be used are a gage of where a stock is going in the short term.
Right now there are 2 main reasons for MEG to rise and or fall.
1-oil prices rise then meg should respond in kind, and vise-aversa oil prices falls and meg will fall in kind. the correlation is sometimes not 100 % and that could be because of other factors but in general if you have a positive view on oil prices in the short term then MEG is a good stock to be or at least I think so.
2- takeover speculation is another reason meg or up and or down. with rising prices we soemtimes see takeover over runors or analysts reports recommending buying on takeobver speculation. we have see this trade a few times already and it has disappeared with time and no action.
3-asset sales and lowering debt and or new equity offerings to raise cash and or new JV's to rasie cash to increase produciton which will in effect increase CF to pay down dfebt. any action to pay down debt will result in a rising NG price.
if oil goes back down in the summer months with good supply and lowering demand, if no new takeover speculaltion and if no action on access pipeline sale, then you can sell now and buy back in october for roughly the same price or even lower.
in a sideways or lower market you can sell calls and bring in roughly 8-10% return which is not so bad, but you give up any rise in price above your exercise price.
if on the other hand oil spikes in the summer for whatever reason, or speculation rumors heat up then meg will be going over 8 if not 9 for sure.
I don't see anything else affecting MEG for the enxt 3 months.
I could be wrong but I'm going to sell call options on my shares and make some cash. If MEG gets taken over I won't make as much but I will still make something which is better than nother.
anyway good luck everyone and doen't forget ideaman's motto
"MEG is going up tomorrow"
DYODD