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Chinook Energy Inc. Common CNKEF



GREY:CNKEF - Post by User

Comment by George98on Aug 06, 2016 5:04am
260 Views
Post# 25116297

RE:CKE's versus LXE's Montney results in BC & Black Swan

RE:CKE's versus LXE's Montney results in BC & Black Swan
Miner1967 wrote:
Leucrotta (LXE) has skyrocketed lately. But the savvy investors separate the speculation from the facts. The savvy investors separate the thin air from the substance and can see LXE's relentless promotion of the 1,290 boepd well that has been mentioned in LXE's press releases almost 10 times thus far. They don't ignore the valuation and the key metrics either.
 
Including its C$50 million cash and working capital, LXE's Enterprise Value is now about C$270 million.
LXE's production capacity is 3,300 boepd (~75% natural gas).
LXE's proved and probable reserves are 17.1 MMboe (80% natural gas).
 
So at C$1.90 per share, LXE trades now for about C$82,000/boepd and C$16/boe. 
 
LXE's Montney acreage is in the oil window in British Columbia. 
Chinook's (CKE) Montney acreage in British Columbia (Birley/Umbach) is in the overpressured liquids-rich window, see Black Swan Energy's presentation below (slide 6) for details about LXE and CKE. 
Their Montney assets in British Columbia are close (see slide 6 from Black Swan's presentation below):
 
 
 
 
And see now LXE's drilling results from the oil window, according to the press releases:
 
 
In Doe:
 
A4-19: IP30 at 500 boepd (90% gas)
 
B4-19: IP30 at 890 boepd and production of 780 boepd at the end of the 30-day period
 
13-19: Tested at 1,290 boepd 
 
C4-19: IP30 at 900 boepd
 
 
In Mica
 
13-07: IP30 at 447 boepd, 60% oil 
 
8-18: Liquids-rich gas (Test rate of 375 boepd) 
 
8-22: IP-8 at 713 boepd, 50% oil
 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Also, check now CKE's drilling results from its 6 horizontal wells in the overpressured liquids-rich window in BC in Birley/Umbach next to Storm (SRX) and Progress that was acquired by Petronas (see slide 7 from CKE's presentation):
 
 
Test rates for new wells were 4.8 – 7.7 mmcf/d with free condensate rates of 24 – 45 bbl/mmcf. This means that CKE's liquids-rich wells were tested between 800 boepd and 1,300 boepd.
 
CKE has 280 total Gross (236 Net) Upper Montney Locations (assuming 4 wells/DSU) with equivalent Middle and Lower Montney potential over a 240m thick Montney interval.
 
 
Plus, see CKE's drilling results from its Montney wells in its second core area in Gold Creek right next to privately-held CIOC (see slide 11 from CKE's presentation):
 
 
CKE's 1st well: 1,500 boepd
 
CKE's 2nd well: 900 boepd
 
 
See CKE's Presentation:
 
 
 
 
 
Based on its Montney Production (~2,700 boepd) and Reserves (18.3 MMboe) proforma the Tournament deal, CKE at 52 cents trades for C$29,600/boepd and C$4.3/boe
Don't forget that by owning CKE, you also own 70% of Tournament.




Excellent factual post for those who can read the details. LXE's results in Montney are clearly lower than CKE's. This is not rocket science.

See also the drilling results in Montney from Storm (SRX) and Blackbird (BBI). CKE's results in Montney beat them by far. 

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