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Concordia Healthcare Corp. T.CXR.R



TSX:CXR.R - Post by User

Comment by wallop13on Aug 11, 2016 5:26pm
144 Views
Post# 25133015

RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:They can,t guide down tomorrow

RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:They can,t guide down tomorrowI expect them to lower EBITDA. But I also expect lower debt. CIBC is right to expect lower EBITDA guidance. I was talking about total financial impact. The GBP being down by 15% wipes 100M off of GBP debt. That also saves about 8M a year in interest. That's 116M over 2 years. It might not show as EBITDA, but none the less, it's a gain to CXR that affects debt to EBITDA. Right now, Debt to EBITDA is king here and I still expect that to be under 5.5x this year (as guided).

select1011 wrote: Too early for you maybe, but not for CIBC who has called a lowering of guidance - that you ignored.
wallop13 wrote: It's too early to tell if it's negative, a wash or a benefit. It depends on when exactly the GBP recovers and how much debt has been paid off at that time. It's quite a complicated issue and no one knows that answer without knowing the future GBP rate. 

select1011 wrote: Exactly Wallop. Well done. If they try to say tomorrow that Brexit is a wash, they will be the only global company so dum,b to do so. Brexit handed CXR one opportunity to blow out all the bad news and guide lower. That is what they will do if they get that. Otherwise, it be just a load of YMCA from mem in costumes. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CS9OO0S5w2k
wallop13 wrote: Not really. The low GBP is a fact. If they hold guidance it means the business is doing really, really well to absorb that blow without a revision.

fdfd12 wrote: MT put out a release last week which said everything is going on schedule. Isn,t this confirmation that they will not guide lower?

 

 

 




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