RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:PFP1 (2011 Petrofac NR)Mulaman
Yes, seems logical although price of oil is the wild card. If oil stays in the current trading range of below $55 perhaps loitering towards the top of that range then a few weeks into production could see us reach the trigger price - the most likely scenario perhaps.
If however oil breaks out above $55 before first oil then the timeable could accelerate. There is clear resistance to the oil price at $55 and this forms a well defined neckline on an attractive looking inverted head and shoulders pattern. From a purely technical perspective an oil price breakout above $55 is a bullish as it gets and the next resistance level is around $70. I suspect it might be another 3 to 4 months before the oil price breaks out above $55 now due to current oil stock levels, but, things could get interesting if it happens sooner.
Doug