RE:good listen on oil deficitThe US production decline is far from over and US production cannot recover as quickly as he suggests. Look at the delay in both increases in US production and decreases in US production following change in rig counts in the chart below. Of course shale producers say that all this has now changed and that they can drill multiple holes from one site etc etc. While there may be some truth in this nobody is as capable of as much BS exagerated spin as the shale producers. From the chart it is pretty clear to me that shale production has some way to fall yet and that they are not going to get back to peak 2015 production until 2018: