RE:The MathThanks Oldtimer. for anyone interested in splitting the hairs, here are some more concrete figures:
Current Capital Position:
Total Shares Outstanding: 106,188,435
Amber Capital: 24,259,470
IFC: 9,436,346
Paulson: 12,419,360
Trex: 10,608,225
This equates to the above noted parties holding roughly 53.4% and that does not include management's holdings nor is it the fully dilluted position factoring in warrants etc. that management holds.
Post "Yes" Vote Capital Position:
Total Shares Outstanding: 300,096,028
Trex: 150,018,913 + $7 million Convertible Note
Big 3: 100,612,081 + $2,736,362 Convertible Note
This equates to the above noted parties holding roughly 83.5% plus the coonvertible notes, whatever management is currently holding and the outstanding warrants.
Based on the current price of $0.21 the notes would convert to an additional 44,256,191 shares being distributed to the participants. This would bring the total share count up to 344,352,219 with the Participating group holding 85.64%, which is where I think Liberator is probably coming from. Again, this doesn't include management's current holdings or factor in warrants.
The amount of shares distributed under the convertible note is completely dependent on market price at the time of conversion. That is consistent under option A and B. However, I would expect the share price reaction to be completely different depending on the yes or no vote. If we vote yes, then logic would dictate that the dillution would automatically result in a lower share price. Lower share price means higher number of shares issued upon conversion of the notes and further dilution to the rest of us.
I stress again; under any other scenario, aside from winning arbitration and accepting the award granted, we get completely screwed. That includes some other sort of settlement arrangement pursuant to the arbitration proceedings and/or material event in the meantime...
BH