RE:Chen LinSeanyboy,
While I am not a stock analyst, I play one on tv. I have one issue with your analysis, that is actually in favour of the shareholders.
You have used a 50% share of the reserves and multiplied by 35% after GOI interest. I am ok with all that, but then you use 73 MMbbls as your starting point for best case. I believe this is POE's interest rather than the 100% Gross figure. As a result I think you are taking a double haircut on the 50%. End result should be a doubling of your valuation.
That is all I have as I ran out of room on the back of my napkin.
Looking for others to chime in. Who knows we may get to Chen's number by the end of the day.