without more cash into MEG's coffersa fair offer for meg is 7-8 if oil stays over 50 wti
but if oil falls under 50 wti for whatever reasons be it;
1-non compliance on quotos
2- strong USD and higher interest rates
3-increased production from non deal producers like canada and USA, north sea, norway, etc
then oil could fall under 50 very quickly and MEG will fall along with oil prices.
I'm a buyer of MEG if it breaks below 7 and I'll wait to see how all of this deal making and higher interest rates will pan out for the markets.
nothing is guarantteed in this world.
GLTA