GREY:BSMZF - Post by User
Post by
93Darkhorse93on Dec 15, 2016 1:00pm
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Post# 25605263
Q4: Reduction in Churn with 220% Increase in annual EBITDA
Q4: Reduction in Churn with 220% Increase in annual EBITDA Great quarter across that board. This small cap name needs to be rerated much higher if they can demonstrate the ability to grow their subscriber base and control churn at a rate below 2%. (Q4:1.91% vs Q3: 3.16%).
EBITDA growth for the Q4 up to 2.03M from 0.49M or up 314% is quite the increase driven by the merger of equals that has been proven out to be a great deal as they are able to drive cost synergies as the business scales and cross sell across the business lines.
With 25M in cash on the balance sheet and trading at 12x EBITDA and 14x P/E on a trailing basis when EBITDA and EPS more than tripled over the prior year seems too cheap seeing the reoccuring nature of the business which should garner a high multiple on top of recent acquisitions in the space at more than double the valuation where BSM trades at.
If you put a 4x Sales number on the high value reoccuring revenue stream (40M in reoccuring revenues) and a 2x Sales value on hardware on other revenue that gives you a value of 216M add 17M in net cash and you get a value of 233M or 2.76/share which works out to over a double on 2017 sales estimates which in my opinion will have to be raised given the strong Q4 they just put up.
LONG LONG LONG