OTCPK:TMBMF - Post by User
Comment by
dosperroson Dec 20, 2016 8:55pm
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Post# 25627793
RE:RE:WENT LONG. GONNA MAKE $76,000 ON THIS.
RE:RE:WENT LONG. GONNA MAKE $76,000 ON THIS. Oh snap. Clearly I need to update my model.
To illustrate how wrong I am.... E.g. let's say that in three year's time we have debt=$404M, equity=$744M, so an EV of $1,148B. We have a $7.44 share price. But if we are trading at a multiple of 6.75 (conservative) it implies that the share price will be moving to $11.82. Dif b/w 11.82 and 7.44 is target price. It's all about cash. In this case I have an estimated EBITDA of $235M, which is conservative. I've also estimated the continued march of $30M a quarter going towards debt. This, FYI, gives a 30Cent increase in share price at the very least until 2018 or so. Just the mathematics, bro. I see you are good at math too.
Guess I'm WRONG. It's just going to magically gain 7% a day? How many days did you assume? that is more the the ~250 or so per year. We don't trade on the weekends or stats, dude. Anyway, no room for that noise it appears. We are going to assume WHAT? How many tens of thousands of percentage points?
FYI, this is not lineal. I am modelling a 112% increase YoY, then a 68%, then a 59%, then a 17% increase. It's just a model so it's not a fortune teller, but stock market fundamentals carry the day most of the time. Well, all of the time with a long enough timeframe.
It also appears that Tim Ferris and the Four Hour Body is going to have a challenger soon. I too am in need of 58" biceps. Please write a self-help book. Timid and meek men like me need it to help us thrive. And gain the confidence to solict (what you think) are women on Stockhouse for greasy rum-fueled dinner dates. Had any luck so far, lol??