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AltaGas Ltd T.ALA

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATGFF | T.ALA.PR.A | ATGPF | T.ALA.PR.B | T.ALA.PR.G | ATGAF

AltaGas Ltd. is a Canada-based infrastructure company that connects natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) to domestic and global markets. Its segments include Utilities and Midstream. Utilities owns and operates franchised, cost-of-service, rate-regulated natural gas distribution and storage utilities, which includes two utilities that operate across four United States jurisdictions. The Utilities business also includes other storage facilities and contracts for interstate natural gas transportation and storage services, as well as WGL Energy Services, Inc., which sells natural gas and electricity. Midstream is a North American platform that connects customers and markets from wellhead to tidewater. The three pillars of the Midstream business include global exports, which includes its two operational Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG) export terminals and one prospective development terminal; natural gas gathering, processing and extraction, and fractionation and liquids handling.


TSX:ALA - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by lotus1on Feb 26, 2017 11:28am
377 Views
Post# 25895257

CIBC

CIBCFebruary 24, 2017

CIBC Institutional Equity Research

AltaGas Ltd.

Q4/16 Results And Guidance In Line; Focus on WGL May Overshadow Other Growth

What's Changed

Conclusion:

We view Q4 as in line, but likely to be viewed as
secondary to the company's business development outlook. This may
be overlooked in 2017 by the focus on the acquisition of WGL, in
particular the proposed asset sales and regulatory approval process.
With 2017 guidance and management's outlook similar to our
expectations, we maintain our $39 DCF-based price target and
Outperformer rating.

Implications

WGL: Given the early nature of the process, minimal updates were to
be expected. The company clarified that it expects asset sales to be
timed in "lock-step" with the acquisition closing (excluding some noncore
gas assets identified prior to acquisition announcement).

Project Updates: The company reached positive FID for the first train
of its Townsend Phase 2 expansion and submitted an application to
repower its Pomona facility with the California Energy Commission
(CEC). Progress in California has been slower than initially expected,
and a successful award could be a positive for investor sentiment.

2017 Guidance In Line: The company expects stronger contribution
from frac spread-exposed operations, normalizing weather conditions
and contributions from new assets placed into service to result in
high-single-digit EBITDA and normalized FFO growth. The 2017
capital budget was increased to $550 million-$650 million with
maintenance capital of $25 million-$35 million. Guidance is in line
with consensus estimates of 8% EBITDA growth, $570 million capex,
and $26 million maintenance capital implying minimal revisions to
street expectations.

Q4 Results In Line: Normalized EBITDA of $194 million was consistent
with CIBC and consensus forecasts of $199.6 million and $196.3
million, respectively. Distributable cash of $0.92/share beat our
estimate of $0.79/share (consensus $0.81/share) and included an $11
million ($0.07/share) adjustment relating to the termination of
Sundance B PPAs.

Bullboard Posts