RE:RE:RE:NxeBCsilver. I have seen this chart, or a similar variation on it many times. For the most part it reflects what typically occurs though the swings it represents are often exaggerated.
What is not accounted for is that this model assumes that whatever commodity is involved is constant. In the case of uranium there is the expectation of a rise in demand and price over the short to mid term. That will reduce the dip of the orphan period and as the size and economics of Arrow become better known the dynamics will further change.
Good to keep in mind the typical life cycle though and if getting in now one must be prepared to wait it out.