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Chinook Energy Inc. Common CNKEF



GREY:CNKEF - Post by User

Comment by backabockon Apr 12, 2017 9:17am
152 Views
Post# 26111516

RE:RE:AECO, Climate and Electricity production.

RE:RE:AECO, Climate and Electricity production.
Miner1967 wrote:
You provided the facts, but the bashers don't rely on them, they just try to convince that "NG is worthless, oil is good", because they hold indebted stocks with 10-30% oil.

They also refer to costs, when all the data are known and we are already aware of the low cost production of CKE.


I want to point something else out.  If you read between the lines on DEE: they found a high condensate region.  And now DEE is exploiting that region.  

After my 5 minute academic research on condensates, I've come to learn the distribution is "fractal" (no pun intended.)

You can find a region where condensates are locally high.  However, in the larger adjacent surroundings the yield regresses to the mean.  This has something to do with stratum sheering stresses that I can't understand, but the point is that since this geological affect is known to be mean reverting as scale increases, so will be CGR.

TL;DR: DEE is exploiting high value assets now, knowing the remaining assets risk being underperformers.  Burn bright, die quickly?

In contrast, CKE stock is relatively cheap, they are only drilling a small number of wells and despite the wells being dry, the company is forecasting being profitable using what is turning out to be conservative numbers.
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