OTCPK:TMBMF - Post by User
Comment by
dosperroson May 02, 2017 10:05am
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Post# 26191616
RE:RE:RE:RE:$54M this quarter -- not bad; will move the price upwards
RE:RE:RE:RE:$54M this quarter -- not bad; will move the price upwards Split, or even just get credit for as a sum-of-parts valuation. Fairfax is wise to this.. I've done this better before, but this sort of idea (below) is what I think of. It's just the quarterly result extrapolated. Where it gets exciting is wiping out about 100M of debt per year and that adds a dollar a year to the SP.
Short version -- don't need to break the company up. Just need a more sophisticated analaysis by potential investors.
| Quarterly EBITDA | Annual EBITDA | Multiple | Market Value ($M) | | |
SC | $23 | $92 | 10 | $920 | | |
Pulp | $10 | $40 | 5 | $200 | | |
Lumber | $9 | $36 | 5 | $180 | | |
Paper | $16 | $64 | 7.5 | $480 | | |
| | | | $1,780 | $17.80 | per share |
| | | Less new debt | $620 | | |
| | | | $1,160 | $11.60 | per share |