Q2.early but let's look ahead
ESN posted revs of aboot 15M for Q2 in 2016 and we think it plausibe to see 30M in Q2 2017 based mostly on a solid April rig count, increasing rig counts in the SCOOP-STACK-PERMIAN which bode wel for the tool rental biz and a snap back in Canadian rig counts in June. Tool rental biz is surging in both mkts with margins of 27% vs. 17%-ish for coiled tubing. If the above scenario plays out then we could see EBITDA of 2-3M for Q2. Strongly beleive in 2017 we can see 25-30M of EBITDA and 50M for 2018. ESN is still moronically cheap, if HWO-High Arctic can acuire this stock for 2 Cad or less then it is an absolute steal as the above scenario implies a price of 3-3.50 Cad in 2018.