GREY:ALXDF - Post by User
Comment by
goldopportunityon Jul 08, 2017 3:51pm
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Post# 26447558
RE:RE:Fwiw.......
RE:RE:Fwiw.......Hey LRG -- I see your point about the updated RE....and you could be proven right. However, I lean on the side of what do I know now?, what are reasonable m&i gold oz expectations? and what is the other guy gonna do?
I could totally see eld making a bid for alexandria as it would further compliment and increase the value of their integra aquisition. Unfortunately, I think a eld bid would most likely be at best half cash/half share offer. If this were the case, I'd sell on the gap-up and then buy eld on the subsequent sp decline as I know the alexandria aquisiton would give eld massive appreciation down the road. So, I agree with you on this point. So if I were eld, I would go ahead and make a takeover offer. It would make perfect sense. What say you?
Also, I'm pretty sure that aem and g have had some "exploratory" discussions. I'm sure each of them think they have a lock on a takeover, or maybe even a mutual takeover. However, I wouldn't rule out a "rogue" offer that would pay all cash. Think about it. Let's say you're a savvy hedge firm, or even an individual with deep pockets who has the foresight to know that gold will be trading much, much higher a few years down the road. You buy while the sp is suppressed and then sell off portions as the pog rises and/or enter into JV agrrements. It's would be a win-win.
Bottom-line:
Friday's closing cheap market cap only increases the probability that "something" will happen before too long. As I've said, when a buy-out is announced, it'll be too late to buy. Jmvho.
goldopp