RE:Is this basically betting on black?The Greek issues are mostly reflected in current SP. It could be worse if both projects currently in construction are denied permits because of disagreements on environmental safeguards. That doesn't seem likely, so IMO, the odds are more like 90% it will be settled by Jan 1, 2018 and 10 percent that the projects are shut down, not the 50/50% mentioned on BNN. That's JMO. It's just a guess because we really don't know the costs associated with the disagreements are. IMO the costs must be significant to ELD ($50 million or greater) or they would just agree to the changes requested by the Greek government to get the projects moving. Hopefully we'll know more in a couple of weeks when the issues are presented to the arbitration court and Eldorado issues a statement soon after. If you're worried about a big drop from here, you might want to waid until then.