RE:RE:RE:RE:Interesting little read I am looking at the 8 pages report 07.02.2017:
Possible temporary link:
https://cdn.ceo.ca.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/1cc64kc-20170310102511311.pdf
It is also based on a gold price of 1200 and exchange rate CAD/USD 0.75 (1.33 CAD for 1 USD) and a production start in 2018...Many other variables as the % of the projetct financed/unfinanced, the sensitivity of the IRR in a downside/upaside POG scenario.
Overall ranking of VIT in February = 7 (last page)
And the 1 USD target price is not "directly" linked to the 30% premium in my opinion. The 30% premium is an assumption to "current" price (i.e. 0.65 price --> *1.3=0.85) to calculate the IRR (internal return on investment) of the project for the acquirer....
So today's estimated IRR for the acquirer would be baseed on a price of 0.5*1.3=0.65 and will be much higher.... But the target price of the analyst could still be 1 USD. Said differently, cheaper is the pps, greater is the probability that an acquirer comes but with a lower offer than the target price of 1 USD. Does not mean it will accepted but this will impact positvely the pps.
If you believe that VIT is effectively a good candidate for a take over and that POG won't drop dramatically in the next 12 months, this is a good time to buy shares to lower your average price.