To summarize...
I loaded the margin at 1.70 cad and got blown out of the water, that news release on monday really hit, you really can't underestimate those algos and how bad they want to trigger those stops and trigger those margin calls. The current valuation are beyond comprehension and reason, A lesson I learned, if you know a company won't recover, cut your loss early. It's not the case with Eldorado, Yes they do have some capex moving forward but they have enough to ramp up Lamaque and Olympias and moving forward, furthermore management are tightening the capex and slowing down the spending. On the other hand I've been in the deep red-ink with several other companies and in my experience you batter down the hatch average down at rock-bottom and you usually make a killing. Lesson learned, always keep cash for those extreme moves, and careful with the margin.
Ok now let's look at our catalysts:
#1 Lyra / USD is at his highest ever level...!!
#2 Deflation risks are ZERO!!! Central banks will monetize debts, e.g. Japan.
#3 How long the disconnect with reality and market condition can last? How bad are the banks balance sheet and derivatives loss (I'm sure it's 2008 times a million). Just watch RE market like Toronto and Vancouver get blown out of the water.
#4 Olympias goes like planned, Skouries get greenlighted for good.
Worst case scenario:
(Since you really can't tell what's baked in the cake with the algos acting wildly)
#1 War between Greece and Turkey
#2 CIvil war in Turkey
#3 Civil unrest in Greece
#4 volcanic eruption at Lamaque and or major earthquake obliterate the mine