RE:RE:RE:I hope you got the cheap shares, here comes the pumping Dec.kmac1 yes, it is hard to value any company even when they give you a starting way to do so, however, one is always left projecting without actually seing realized revenues and profits or not therefore we would be best to look at the pieces that we are given and work from a fairly conservative perespective under the best case assumption that product is being moved through the channels successfully. I would put the current valuation right now no less than $1.80 and i will show you how by crunching numbes keeping in mind I am looking at what the current stockhouse information is about the current outstanding shares so this will have some baring on the calculations if they are different. I have tried to figure out what sedar did on their site and they have made it tougher than in the past to gain access to companies' info so i will have to get in touch with them and see how you actuallly look companies up.
In any case, there is a shade under 60 million outstanding shares i will round that to 60 million. We are given the fact that the company has more than 270 units right now and as per june 13 news release about 2.7 millioon in book or sales whatever we want to call it. Now my calculations are very simple/straight forward using a conservative constant that I strongly believe the company will easily sell the same amount of units over a quarterly period so instead of units sold dollar values 2.7 million times 4 for the whole year that would 10.8 million--keep in mind i am holding this constant--they will do a whole lot more as tailwind is trying to establish--I actually think his/her 2000 units a month (as to my recollection was stated) when this is fully going which will most likely be in the second half of 2018--and there is a simple reason or tier one integrator will easily be able to handle this!!!! In any case, we have 10.8 million holding the 270 units per quarter constant and the corresponding dollar value of 2.7 million a quarter or 10.8 million for the year.
Divide 10.8 million by 60 million the outstand and multiply this by the commonly accepted 10 times the revenue this should give you $1.80--that is what I strongly believe should actually be the lowest where we should be trading as of this point--remember i am working with numbers that are given and projecting on the very conservative side here--we will far exceed within 2018 a total of 1080 units no doubt about that--like i said the tier one will easily be able to produce 1000's of units themselves!!!! I have also left constant the number of outstanding shares as given by stockhouse which i know will have variance in it and will continue to have variancess in it as there will most likely be more raises as needed but there will also be more units produced etc.
In any case, yes going back to what i started by and agreeing with you it is really hard to predict and project but you do the best you can with what you are given and then what you think is likely--I didn't say anything which isn't likely when holding a constant base level. If the company is as it states ramping up that means more than 270 units in 3 months and it will definitely establish this i am certain but for those who are not and saying seeing is believing that is fine and if they want to wait to see rather than buy that is fine to when it happens they can gladly pay the fair and higher value if they see what i see right now right here these are in fact severely undervalued for the reasons that i have shown quite simply here and for the reasons that yes i strongly agree with Tailwind 2,000 units a month will be peanuts when everything is up and running and ironed out--production as the company has kept stating is not an issue making sure the quality and performance is to the extent they don't want to mass manufacturer anything that is of poor quality and will make sure this is done right the first time before giving their stamp of approval for greater amounts of units and it will happen!
Enjoy your weekend everyone good luck all!!! By the way $1.80 is peanuts too at this point i have already valued these between $2.00-$5.00 as we stands apparently the market hasn't caught up yet but it will oh it will and it will not be long before that!