GREY:IPRSF - Post by User
Comment by
lscfaon Dec 06, 2017 5:10pm
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Post# 27104537
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Consolidating sector
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Consolidating sectorSomeone recently brought up debt/ebitda ratios so lets compare:
NYX 515/68 = 7.6x
GEL 88/10 = 8.8x
lscfa wrote: p.s.s.....
Ebitda Margins
NYX
28.7% Q2
28.6% H1
GEL
26.8% Q2
26.9% H1
lscfa wrote: p.s. NYX has $515 mil of debt & pref shs. vs. the $260 mil equity .......
lscfa wrote: NYX is being acquired for about 11x ebitda so my previous calc of fair value stands.....
Assume transition to mobile increases yearly ebitda from $10 million to $15 million
using a multiple of 10x => $150 mil enterprise value
$150 mil + $4.5 mil cash - $88 mil debt = $66.5 mil equity value
$66.5 mil / 220 mil shares = $0.30 per SH.
Alternatively…..
Get rid of debt $88 mil / 0.10 = 880 mil shs + 220 mil = 1100 mil shs.
Ebitda of $15 mil becomes net income (~ $50 mil in tax loss carryforwards)
15 P/e => $225 mil value or $0.20 per sh
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180 mil shs o/s
40 mil wrts/options in money ($2.5 mil cash from proceeds)
220 mil total
$2 mil cash
$2.5 mil exercised wrts/ops
$4.5 total cash
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