brentkosta wrote: FalconM wrote: LOL. That's probably when the stock will sky rocket. You made a decision to invest in this company, hopefully on due diligence. If you get emotional about it, you'll lose your position, see the company continue to climb, then hate your life. Just be disciplined, stop watching the stock so attentively and let the company progress. This quarter will hopefully be good, but it won't be AMAZING. Its the next 2 quarters that will really make OGI explode to the 10.00 range. Once their facility starts producing 26,000 kg a year, we will be making x4+ the revenue - and we've been under producing what even the 6,000kg facility should be churning out. So, OGI is setting up to make Canopy level quarterly revenues - 15-20M+. Then look at their expenses versus canopy - OGI's expenses are miniscule. They are going to start taking their new found wealth and its going to feed directly into share holder value. I don't know how much money you have in the company, but if OGI hits 10.00 I'll have about half a million in the bank. It would take me YEARSSSS to earn 500,000 in cash. And that cash is going to be yielding higher interest rates soon enough as the Fed keeps tightening. So the best financial strategy right now imo, is to be patient, ride this stock and eventually unwind the position into cash as asset bubbles elsewhere begin to burst, then buy sh1t and enjoy life.
I think we can both agree the LP valuations are an absolute joke. I agree with you that relative to industry in this current hyped state, OGI has value... But when the bubble bursts. Which it most definitely will. Where do you see OGI settling at? I see OGI as no more than a $100mm - $200mm company when the house of cards crumbles. Thats going by their assets (faciities, licenses) and meagre earnings. Dont forget these faciities are slowly yet surely being devalued as more and more pop up.
So IMO, saying this is a $10 stock might be believabe in the current market landscape, but its a race against the clock, and the clock stops in July 2018. After that date, I see this as a penny stock. Like almost all other LP's.
Side note: Does Aurora or Canopy share holders actually believe their stock should be 25% of what Molsons is? Molson has an EPS of 10.36. ACB/WEED wont have that combined in 25 years from now. So although we dont know how big the bubbe will grow, do we really want to go all in on such a sickening notion?
When the bubble bursts, all that matters is PE, EPS and assets Thats it. At that point we can start over and use measurables. Until then, i'll be like Eddie Vedder and ride the wave where it takes me.
Just my two cents.