Downside pressure into the weeks ahead In no particular order, downside pressure is gaining momentum via:
1) short from billion dollar American hedgefund and shorts all over North America piling in for easy money. Rumor is also that the American ETF that ran these prices up over the holidays doesn't conforn with federal regulations and is being heavily shorted currently.
2) correction with industry returning to realistic pre-Christmas levels, in our case $20/share. Nothing material news-wise since to merit an actual rise (aside from the prospects of legalization in 6 months)
3) senate is in their process now, uncertainties as to how long it will take with possible delays
4) Sessions position may be good for Canadian LPs for the long term, but its put a lid on the industry's growth and development short term
5) Recent huge acquisitions by Aurora and Aphria that have made the top 3 market capitalizations including WEED bloated, including our 200 million BMO financing
6) Upcoming lack lustre quarter in two weeks from Canopy with no material news since mid December
7) Short term bearish indicators with sector and overall market. Possible beginning of a 3 to 5% correction with the TSX (down for the last five sessions in a row) as well as American Markets on the verge of a correction: https://www.bnn.ca/tsx-starts-2018-as-the-fourth-worst-performing-global-market-1.985108
The general sentiment if investors are honest is mid-December was our last fair valuation for the stock price (i.e. essentially $20 a share). The run up since then had nothing real to give it foundation.
In my opinion, we have too many negative catalysts to shift the market sentiment. Until we get the green light from the Senate, the bearish macro picture of the market, sector and our upcoming limp quarter in two weeks paints a picture of near term risk and uncertainty.
We're still a month or so out from the bulls running with real conviction imo. Until then the bears have deep institutional pockets and are frickin' lethal as we're witnessing. Tomorrow might give a temporary reprieve, but come next week the bears will back in the stock stream leading the way down for the entire sector imo..