GREY:NMKEF - Post by User
Post by
clmclmon Feb 04, 2018 8:53pm
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Post# 27500721
Joe Lowry / the facts about him ...
Joe Lowry / the facts about him ... ... Joe Lowry .... wrote
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/overdue-week-oz-joe-lowry/?published=t
(...) In a market that needs close to 500K MT of capacity adds between now and 2025 to operate a reasonable utilization rate, don’t expect more than 190K MT of this to be from brine in South America (see below) and China; leaving a huge gap that needs to be supplied from hard rock projects. (...) .... I am not forgetting that Canada has hard rock plans but I am increasingly negative on the timing and have lowered my output estimates from Canada. Oz rules hard rock. ....
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(Quebec Lithium ... now North American Lithium.; Nemaska , and others ...) Spodumene prices will drop long before 2025 but only to levels that keep lithium chemical prices in the $12- $14 range outside of China. For those that panic at every dip in the lithium chemical price in China, I still say focus on the price outside China unless you are invested in a Chinese producer. also .... on Twitter