GREY:ALXDF - Post by User
Comment by
NextPhaseon Feb 28, 2018 12:41pm
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Post# 27637155
RE:Share Price.
RE:Share Price.yruso22,
Despite my bullish sentiment, it would be stupid to ignore the legitimate risks that warrant more bearish perspectives on AZX. Yes, I can see many positive catalysts, which many of these are mentioned in your post, but other reasons exist that can explain Alexandria Mineral's depressed share price.
- A huge amount of uncertainty exists with AZX, which makes many people uncomfortable. This uncertainty includes the BoD fight, legal risk on EO's stupidity, hostile takeover risk, etc.
- Low insider ownership makes some people question management's motives
- Many aspects of AZX could be done better, investor relations, website, etc.
- Some concerns might exist about what happened with the Integra/ELD deal, which hurt many investors. It makes the value proposition from a takeover less straightforward.
- I believe many investors see a rollback in the near future, and they refuse to jump in front of it under any circumstance.
- Many investors see a high share count as a deal breaker. (Personally, I think they are wrong on this... a high share count as a red flag, but not necessarily a deal breaker)
- ES has a lot of warrants around the 0.09 level, which can act as an overhang around this level
- AZX has a history of underdelivering on modest expectations, and the market is not giving the company the benefit of the doubt.
- AZX is a slow driller that wastes too much money on non-drilling activities.
- The financing gets cringy.
- IMO, the market is waiting for the actual RE to alter their view on AZX's valuation
- The recent run-up from 0.05 to 0.10 at the end of 2017 was solely based on the higher probability of a near-term exit strategy, which shows high skepticism remains on everything else.
- People who bought AZX at 0.2-0.4 have seen a decent profit, and they may feel the need to lock-in gains.
These are most of the reasons I can think of on why some investors think AZX is legitimately priced at this low level. Personally, I think they are wrong overall, but these are legitimate reasons why some people are bearish on Alexandria Minerals.
GLTA,
NP