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Denison Mines Corp T.DML

Alternate Symbol(s):  DNN

Denison Mines Corp. is a Canada-based uranium exploration and development company focused on the Athabasca Basin region of northern Saskatchewan, Canada. The Company holds a 95% interest in the Wheeler River Project, which is a uranium project. It hosts two uranium deposits: Phoenix and Gryphon. It is located along the eastern edge of the Athabasca Basin in northern Saskatchewan. It holds a 22.5% ownership interest in the McClean Lake joint venture (MLJV), which includes several uranium deposits and the McClean Lake uranium mill. It also holds a 25.17% interest in the Midwest Main and Midwest A deposits, and a 67.41% interest in the Tthe Heldeth Tue (THT) and Huskie deposits on the Waterbury Lake property. The Company, through JCU (Canada) Exploration Company, Limited, holds indirect interests in the Millennium project, the Kiggavik project, and the Christie Lake project. It also offers environmental services. The Company also uses MaxPERF drilling tool technology and systems.


TSX:DML - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by Born2Struggle2on Mar 29, 2018 9:21am
176 Views
Post# 27801345

RE:RE:RE:WNN

RE:RE:RE:WNNYes, an endless litany of predictions come and go never to be realized, made by intelligent people. 

To me, the biggest single indicator of a turn around to bull territory is the spot price volumes being transacted. Occasionally, the good people at FNArena publish their thoughts in the "free space" and I have copied a quote from their 27 March 2018 commentary - "Seven transactions were concluded totalling 900,000lbs U3O8 equivalent." I think their source is Trade Tech. At that level of transaction, the equivalent rate of 45,000,000 to 50,000,000 pounds per year, and at the current spot prices of sub $22, we will never see the spot price rise above $22. That sales volume is roughly 1/4 to 1/3 of a year’s worth of consumption of U - consumers, the reactor operators, are able to pick up their needs on the spot market and this has been going on for years now. We don’t get to see the estimated transactions for each week, but every time FN lets the cat out of the bag, I note that the transactions are generally around the 900,000 lbs per week level.

WE need to see spot transactions fall below the 100,000 lbs transacted per week to see U prices head higher. The question is who is selling into the spot market? If it is the miners, the producers, then investors are screwed and those miners are fools for giving their U away for free.
But, as time passes, it is getting harder to believe that the secondary sources are to blame as the spot source. Here is a table I put together of Japanese reactor historical requirements – obviously a large potential secondary source.
 
               
               
    JAPAN - HISTORICAL URANIUM DEMAND    
      SOURCE - WNA      
               
    tonnes tonnes pounds YEAR    
    U U308 U308 as of 1 Jan    
               
               
    8872          10,465          23,070,999 2007    
    7569            8,928          19,682,641 2008    
    7569            8,928          19,682,641 2009    
    8003            9,440          20,811,227 2010    
    8003            9,440          20,811,227 2011    
    2805            3,309            7,294,201 2012    
    4636            5,469          12,055,585 2013    
    366                432                951,757 2014    
    2119            2,500            5,510,307 2015    
    2549            3,007            6,628,491 2016    
    680                802            1,768,291 2017    
    662                781            1,721,483 2018    
               
    NOTES: Due to Fukushima, in 2012 there would have been  
    383 reactors in the world fleet actually consuming U. Currently
    there are 410 consuming U as 37 reactors are still idle in Japan.
    The drop in demand from Japan can be estimated to be  
    109,750,000 pounds from 2012 thru 2018 - Likely this became  
    a spot source of approximately 15.7M lbs per yr on average.  
               
               
 
It would be good if someone could publish the actual spot market transactions for 2017, is it still running in the range of 45-50M lbs/year?
 
B2S2

Bullboard Posts