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Bellatrix Exploration Ltd (Canada) BXEFF

Bellatrix Exploration Ltd is a Canada-based oil and gas company, engaged in the exploration, acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas reserves in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan. It primarily focuses on developing its two core resource plays, the Cardium and the Notikewin/Falher intervals in Western Canada. The Notikewin/Falher in Alberta's deep basin boasts abundant, liquids-rich natural gas with compelling economics. The Cardium is a highly e


GREY:BXEFF - Post by User

Comment by ceremonyon May 04, 2018 7:00pm
230 Views
Post# 27985824

RE:Debt Retirement - US $10M vs 7,081,837 Shares

RE:Debt Retirement - US $10M vs 7,081,837 Sharesdo it this way.
there is going to be 49m + 7m shares outstanding after this deal.
there is USD $240m of 2020 debt outstanding after this deal.


Eagle1 wrote: I tried an exercise doing the math using the ratios in this US$10m vs 7,081,837 shares deal. It’s likely a fool's game, but here goes. 

US $10m equals Cdn $12.9M and divide that into $300M debt gets you 23.25 units, multiplied by 7,081,837 creates 164,652,710 new shares to take care of the debt. 

The interest rate on the debt now is 8.5%, - $25,500,000 per year or $102,000,000 for 4 years when debt is due. In this scenario the company saves this amount by issuing shares. 

So the company releases 164,652,710 shares, adds them to the current 49,378,026  for a float of 214,030,736.

You can play all sorts of games from here. When the current book value of $15.90 is bandied about does it take into account the long term $300 000,000 debt? Does it mean that the current value of the company is a multiple of the 49,378,026 shares by $15.90 = $785,110,613? Has the debt been deducted?
 If the interest is saved and the debt erased does the total value go by $300,000,000 plus the saved interest, or some part of it? Like $1,185,110,613? Would  that give a book value of $5.54?

In the four years without debt and with current oil prices what can the company accomplish?
Or was this trade of shares for the US$10m just a special case for some special reason which escapes us?



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