RE:Why I am shortInteresting perspective Vincent, how much do you think is the LB going to go down considering where it is now? Aren't the factors you mentioned beaked already in the price?
vincentld wrote: Hi guys,
First post in this bullboard. I decided to initiate a short position on the stock based on the following conclusions :
-Management cant seem to close negotiations with the Union slowing down the transformation plan. No end in sight on that front.
-Decline in the mortgage portfolio due to the new rules B20 rules, higher cost of funds and much stricter control on the underwritting process.
-2/3 of the growth in the commercial book comes from Northpoint : the core book in Quebec is not growing anymore and is slowingly eroding.
-Second miss EPS in a row (if we adjust for 0.11$ from the sale of the Agriculture loans).
-Pending rating downgrad from DBRS and S&P based on their previous negative outlook and the deterioration of the commercial book.
Let me know what you guys think and if you agree/disagree with my assessment.