RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:we're not nearly out of the woods yet Very insightful analysis. Thanks!
bloomfield18 wrote: Chevy has been trading in and out like you Rob. Trying to roll with the punches. He probably has a larger core position than you. By fairy tales he means trying to find fundamental rationales for the inexplicable trading action. These are mainly:
1) It’s the DRC. We knew that when it was $5
2) It’s the new mining law (even though heavy selling began in November 2017, two months before the new law was announced. Did someone have a heads up? Maybe, but if so why didn’t they unload everything before January? Why drag it out to August? For that reason, I consider this explanation unlikely.
3) The stock market is going to crash and we’ll have a recession. That’s doubtful.
4) Finalizing stability agreements with the government in DRC and South Africa has proven difficult. This last point has some merit, but not enough to explain a 60% decline in share price.
Meanwhile, during this time, high grade resource went up 50% at Ksmoa-Kakula; Kipushi is now estimated to have a high grade multi decade resource, instead of just 11 years; and the Company made it clear Platreef is highly scalable, and production may be tripled from the 4Mtpa throughput proposed in feasibility. NPV (Net Present Value) basically doubled, while share price went from $5 to $2. And the Company has over $800 million in the bank. Fundamentals dictate share price should have remained relatively steady over the past year, as political uncertainty (which was always there) was balanced by an increase in NPV. Even the massive placement at $3.68 share didn’t slow downward momentum to $2.
There is one reason, and ONLY one reason, to account for the precipitous decline. Massive short selling intended to overwhelm the market for no logical reason at all, except someone(s) thought it was a good idea.