Hexo forecast I just wonder what the recent selloff mean, I hope it is the event sales and all will setlle soon.
Correct me if I am wrong but:
8500000 people x 21gr(as per stat can) =178,500,000 gr the contract signed for "57 tons
minimum but no set maximum"
I wonder who will cover the shortages?? Do they expect that black market will represent 68% after legalization???
As per stat can black market will decrase to 24% after 1 year. So 2019 looks preetty good:
178500kg *0.76=135.66 tons
If you would like to confirm that the maximum is not set HEXO should be able to sell:
Based what they mention that they will cover 32 % of the market in Quebeck:
135660000*0.32=43,411,200 ----looks like average for the first five years
Also Sebastien said something about average price of $ 5.40
43411200*$5.4=$234,420,480 Revenue very conservative I would add 20% opportunity factor
Analysts put 0.425068 EBIDA to Rev Factor
234420480*0.425068=$99,644,644 | Industry grows | 28% | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Discounted | 8% | $ 99,644,644.00 | $ 127,545,144.32 | $ 163,257,784.73 | $ 208,969,964.45 | $ 267,481,554.50 | $ 342,376,389.76 | $ 438,241,778.89 | $ 560,949,476.98 | $ 718,015,330.54 | $ 919,059,623.09 |
| Discounted Value | $2,226,272,348.50 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Shares | 194310000 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Value per share | $11.46 | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Let me know what do you think I really like Hexo since I belive it is the only company with tangible value.
Thanks