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I am flattered that someone like you wiyh so much insight ask for my humble opinion.
Insiders trading: if BBD execs are found guilty (which I doubt very much), it could be very bad. If it is only fines they get, it won't be that bad but if the consequences involve management changes it could be awful because I personally believe that Bellemare and co. do a great job so far.
If execs sold shares but without any conspiracy theory behind, people will forget and forgive especially if the share price picks up. But it will take some time.
There is no way in my view that the Quebec government will let BBD down. They have too much invested in terms of $$$ and credibility. I would think that Legault will find some juicy contracts (REM related) to pump BT.
I just added to my position recently and have no plan to sell.