Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Quote  |  Bullboard  |  News  |  Opinion  |  Profile  |  Peers  |  Filings  |  Financials  |  Options  |  Price History  |  Ratios  |  Ownership  |  Insiders  |  Valuation

Aphria Inc. APHA

Aphria, which is headquartered in Ontario, produces and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis. The company operates through retail and wholesale channels in Canada and internationally. Aphria is a main distributor of medical cannabis to Germany and has operations in over 10 countries outside of Canada. However, it does not have exposure to the U.S. CBD or THC markets due to the constraints of federal prohibition. It has some U.S. exposure through the acquisition of SweetWater, a craft brewer


NDAQ:APHA - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by 40Baggson Jan 12, 2019 5:56pm
123 Views
Post# 29223843

Q2 earnings

Q2 earningswere quite average because of a horrible REC rollout but we doubled our KG's sold QoQ, a trend that should continue until full capacity. Also kept 5000 KGs of inventory from Q1 plus the 5000 KGs harvested in Q2, plus another 5000 KGs harvested during Q3, so roughly ~15,000 KGs available for Dec-Feb. The EPS of 22 cents and annoucement of a CEO change is why SP is up as P/E decreased and clear direction was given.

The Q3 topline from cannabis sales should conservatively be ~7000 KGs, assuming only ~50% product on-hand is sold with 3 months of rec sales rather then 1.5 months for Q2, at 6.30/G. This would put APHA above the 40M+ sales mark, plus the 7 weeks of CC Pharma revenues, another ~40M+.

With HC approval P4/P5, we will be harvesting 24,000 KGs a quarter, ~150M. With Diamond, 65,000 KGs a quarter, ~400M. And finally with Colcanna and Marigold, 80,000 KG's a quarter, ~500M. Add in the ~75-90M quarterly sales from CC Pharma, top line will be more impressive as we march forward.

Oil extraction centre ready in March, Germany tender, EU GMP certification. Need that capacity approval so we can get harvesting with the state of the art automation and improve costs/gram. And finally, hopefully, an equity partner, ideally @$13/sh for 10-20%, to set a floor for the share price and reduce volatility. A full cash buyout of $25+ would be reasonable, but I'd prefer equity.




Bullboard Posts