OTCPK:KATFF - Post by User
Comment by
Gws0623on Jan 14, 2019 5:53am
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Post# 29226457
RE:KAT Earning Estimates for 2019, 2020 and 2021
RE:KAT Earning Estimates for 2019, 2020 and 2021Thanks for your estimates. I hope you're right!
One area I question is the P/E assumption. 10-12x is very rich for a DRC, single mine operation. Compare it with Norilsk Nickel in Russia that currently trades at a P/E of 8-9x and has a current dividend yield of 11-12%. 5-6x for KAT might be more appropriate.
On the other hand, you have definitely been conservative using $2 billion of opex. In KAT's 2018 43-101 on Sedar they estimated opex (mining, processing, techinical services, engineering, admin) at $750-800m per year from 2019 - 2021. Adding in the royalties takes it to about $1.0 - 1.1bn/year.