RE:trading patternI checked back the last 2 months and there looks to be some reflection of that in the chart.
If the shorts can get out the next 500-700k shares under 10 i would say they've made out pretty well on balance here.
Volume is tightening up and they know it. Hence the increased wash we saw last 2 weeks. The 1mm or so shares shorted from 2mm o/s to 3mm before the dividend cut made out well. Volume was there for them to cover into, and many did in the low 7's 6's, some in the 5's.
In all fairness, they did quite well here. And i wouldn't doubt that a lot of the short cdn position was related to the same parties trading the collapsing cdn oil spreads last fall before the curtailments.
Volume is tightening though.
Here's the last 15 days, vs the first 20 days of 2019, and the first 15 days after the dividend cut:
volume | |
March 27 – April 16 | |
2019-04-16 | 110,000 |
2019-04-15 | 153,000 |
2019-04-12 | 181,700 |
2019-04-11 | 212,600 |
2019-04-10 | 297,100 |
2019-04-09 | 233,700 |
2019-04-08 | 293,700 |
2019-04-05 | 168,300 |
2019-04-04 | 119,200 |
2019-04-03 | 188,800 |
2019-04-02 | 120,800 |
2019-04-01 | 111,000 |
2019-03-29 | 108,900 |
2019-03-28 | 64,000 |
2019-03-27 | 116,100 |
| 165,260 |
| |
January 2 – January 22 | |
2019-01-22 | 429000 |
2019-01-21 | 147900 |
2019-01-18 | 437900 |
2019-01-17 | 304000 |
2019-01-16 | 302600 |
2019-01-15 | 296600 |
2019-01-14 | 316700 |
2019-01-11 | 348600 |
2019-01-10 | 540500 |
2019-01-09 | 489500 |
2019-01-08 | 193100 |
2019-01-07 | 257700 |
2019-01-04 | 185700 |
2019-01-03 | 206700 |
2019-01-02 | 223,400 |
| 311,993 |
| |
November 29 – December 19 | |
2018-12-19 | 515900 |
2018-12-18 | 529600 |
2018-12-17 | 423700 |
2018-12-14 | 396500 |
2018-12-13 | 344900 |
2018-12-12 | 325800 |
2018-12-11 | 449100 |
2018-12-10 | 471300 |
2018-12-07 | 383200 |
2018-12-06 | 442200 |
2018-12-05 | 181600 |
2018-12-04 | 417300 |
2018-12-03 | 796600 |
2018-11-30 | 886200 |
2018-11-29 | 1,272,900 |
| 522,453 |