TSX:CHE.DB.E - Post by User
Comment by
Khersonon Nov 08, 2019 11:42pm
104 Views
Post# 30330691
RE:RE:Conference Call
RE:RE:Conference CallFantome wrote: Kherson wrote: Caustic Soda prices are not gonna increase as Davis hopes for 2020 because of the overhang from that price fixing scandal that came to light 6 months ago. But what Davis has made very clear is that the 4th quarter financials will be worse than the 3rd quarter!
Kherson
Here is what the facts are...
1...in the 3Q report the company said that Adjusted EBITA for 2019 would be in the low end of the range 335-375 million...soooo..let's say 335 million..the very lowest...
2...total Adjusted EBITA for the first 9 months was 225 million
3....Adjusted EBITA for the 3Q was 90 million
Simple math...
A.... 335-225 = 110 million
B....110-90 = 20 million
Therefore according the company financial reports and outlook they are predicting an
increase of 20 million in 4Q over the Adjusted EBITA in 3Q....the last time I checked..an increase is not the same thing as a decrease!!!!
With all due respect my friend...I think you should find another horse to beat...
Ther only way you can be right is if they are lying in the 3Q report and this of course as you well know would subject them to the possibility of a class action suit and IMO Mark is too smart to put himself and the company in that situation...
And there is the rub! $110 million for adjusted EBITA in the 4th quarter just ain't gonna happen, plus I firmly believe that we will be seeing more writedowns.
Khersons