RE:gas pricesNobody said that 4200 barrels contribute 55% to the WTI pricing.
55% of FFO in 2020 is WTI sensitive. There is a huge difference.
2020 projection is 25% is Brent sensitive with 15% of that 25% from France, so France isn't a big influence as you stated.
VET has stated that gas in Europe with contribute 18% FFO, not 50% in 2020. I guess it's your word against VET's....I tend to go with the insider.
Vet will be efficient with CAPEX in 2020 and will spend money on high netback production, if European gas prices are down Capex will go elsewhere.
I think you should really look at VET's 2020 projections and adjust your investments accordingly because your GAS narative is not accurate or inline with what VET plans are going forward.