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Newcastle Minerals Ltd A.NCM


Primary Symbol: V.NCM



TSXV:NCM - Post by User

Comment by miningmanon Feb 15, 2020 8:24pm
180 Views
Post# 30696327

RE:Next years ounces

RE:Next years ounces
miningman wrote:   Take   a look  at the results for the first 3  quarters of this year.  I'ts been an  almost  constant  90,000  ounces per Q,   with a head grade of   an  almost constant   9 grams per toone,  and 33-3500   tpd  pushed thru the mill.

So for simplicity,   we  can  expect   10,000   ounces per quarter per  gram of head grade

  Q4  wil likely be similiar....there are   no  gravy  stopes to   drag up the average mill head.   So barring a sudden increase in tonnage towards 3800  tpd   and    an anticipated drop in grafde towards   7 or 8  grams,   we MIGHT   get  320,000   ounces next year.

Yes  3800  tpd would be an  additional   10%   but  increasing tonnage in ANY  gold  mine tends to drop the mined grade


Paths and  others.  I most  certainly  did  call for  a  SP  of  around  $6  US   about 12 months ago  and  I  filed to  see the  increase in POG  fromm around  $1250  to  $1500 .    When the revised  reserve numbers are released ,  I  suspect the   SP  will sink  to  that level or  lower.

And  as the attached post   from Nov  2019   shows ,  I  clearly  warned that  mill heads  of  7 or 8 grams   was likely  for Q4  2019   and  year  2020.  So  paths , just to reiterate ,  some of  us  did see 8  grams coming  and theres absolutely  no  gaurantee  that  8  grams can  be achieved
in  H2   2020

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