RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Inside info direct from source In my opinion, next two years? This company is long gone before then. But still, that's the magic juice you've been listening to all this time, same thing we heard before legalization a few years ago. It's still comes down to price my friend, not sales outlets, the distribution channels on black market have been established friend-to-friend/to illegal dispensaries a long time before LPs existed and as long as LPs price has 3 levels of taxation, a whole team of QC, responsible people, growers, sop to adhere to, in depth testing protocols, and crop loss (where LPs have to destroy full harvests), packaging vessels, labelling, marketing teams, then there's no way pricing will ever compete, everytime LP prices drop, so does black market. Look at statscan numbers. Cannabis does not have the same lineage as any other industry. Alcohol did not having licensing to allow production with another type of legal production license.
Go0B3r wrote: How are these "Legal" producers(I'm guessing you're talking about ACMPR) going to get shelf space on any of the 800+ brick and mortar stores being thrown up in Ontario in the next two years? The LEGAL flower ACMPR license holder grow, can only be sold on the black market, and done so ILLEGALLY... The last crop 7Acres produced was at 48c a gram post production with the highest yields in the industry @ 74grams per plant avg... I'm no rocket scientist, but didn't they just tighten the belt some more in Q3, and are still in the process of further rightsizing operations where they can... How low will the cost per gram go? Even with the governements cut of a buck a gram, they are already producing products at the same cost as the black market. Soon to have proper infrustracture in place for selling, and the post man delivering to the door... No chance!
From what you've been saying,you're not just short on this company, you're short the whole industry over, aren't you? betting against the whole social movement of legalizing cannabis... fighting change isn't healthy, just a heads up human to human.
watchmeplz wrote: In my opinion, George, theres no coming back from this, you have a LEGAL producing competitor that can absolutely destory the LP's price. Doesn't matter what is said after. see r. vs. allard.
George141 wrote: brentkosta wrote: I dont disagree with you that the entire sector is crumbling. But when when supreme was at 2.00 they had no irons in the fire, so to speak. They were not progressing to be a strong company. They were no where near completion of the facility. None of their assets were worth anything. They still arent. ie Lesotho is down 90% in value.
So if people used the same language now as they did before, how can they be trusted?
George141 wrote: brentkosta wrote: maritimedreamer wrote: oh opt..... sometimes i wonder how rosey those glasses are my friend....... Supreme needs to prove themselves all over again... and a takeout is very possible at these deflated prices...... right now our focus should be on when 2.0 is rolling out and what this new partnership will bring us.....
Just a reminder that Opt was saying this stuff over $2.00 a share and if they near insolvency and the sp gets to below a nickel, he'll say the same thing. He is not to be trusted.
..Brent...when Supreme was at $2.00...Canopy was probably in $60's, Apharia was in the teens, same with Aurora,and many others were at multiples of what they are today. Regulations and slow distributions slowed thigs down...rightly or wrongly is not for me to say. Things were moving very fast and the Government had to slow things down. Every company suffered as a result. Some have and some will go out of business, and some will survive. Supreme evolutionised from grass roots level. It did everything right as far as regulations...very painstakingly process. But the location was grand ,the company was welcomed in the community, the product was recognized with awards, the construction is complete. These are facts. All companies that will survive are down 50, 60 %...The situation is improving rapidly from here. Fowler left with a few millions, no doubt, he probably had enough of the pressures of the regulations, Nav tried but may have not been up to the job...Collin Moore may be the right man, hopefully to turn this company around. We were all hoping for bigger things than where we are, however this price is a great entry point...the next financials will be way better.
...The dynamics have totally changed for the better. Where as before hype and anticipation was leading the sentiment, we now have reality set in. Reality in the sense that the government is opening up mega outlets, the price has come down (but that's ok because Supreme has 448,000 sq.ft of grow space so it can accommodate lower prices. We know the quality is there. So yes, I am optimistic because corrections in the industry have been made. In 2014 Supreme post 5 to1 split was trading at .40 cents. On a scale from 1 to 10 they were a 3 at best compared to today. It only stands to reason the company is worth a multiple of .40 cents. The reason we are where we are is regulations have slowed progress, which has affected the bottom line. However changes are occurring and going the right way. Canadians for the most part are and have been responsible when it comes to recreational pot. That is nice to see and it may have been a worry for government and law enforcement. will there be people that disobey the law...yes... but in the long run they will adjust either trough personal experience or learning the pitfalls of breaking the law..(i.e.driving high). Little by little mj consumption will become more mainstream and unless Trudeau loses the next election and the Conservatives re-criminalise mj use I honestly do not see any more predictable setbacks...unless something totally out of the ordinary occurs like a weather catastrophy that destroys the greenhouses...maintain