RE:RE:ATH vs BTE: Who's more likely to go bankrupt?Thanks Chris. That was a helpful reply.
No need to answer if you don't want, but out of curiosity, do you have a position in either ATH or BTE? Or are you mainly sticking to the mid-caps and large caps?
Chris007 wrote: TheMechanic2020 wrote: I'd like to invest more in either ATH or BTE. Based on all of your expert opinions, which one do you think is more likely to survive, and what odds of bankruptcy would you assign for each company?
Obviously both ATH and BTE can both be classified as "distressed".
Baytex's 2027 notes are currently priced at 49.75 cents on the dollar (24.034% YTM)
Athabasca's 2022 notes currently priced at 22.22 cent on the dollar (125.25% YTM)
Baytex has a bit more leeway in regard to bankruptcy fears, as they have managed to roll over their debt (2021 notes to 2027) and they redeemed their 2022 notes with borrowing on their revolving credit facility/term loan
If you do decide to play the small caps, diversification is definitely your friend. That being said, if you already own ATH and BTE, why not put you money into another company instead.