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AltaGas Ltd T.ALA

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATGFF | T.ALA.PR.A | ATGPF | T.ALA.PR.B | T.ALA.PR.G | ATGAF

AltaGas Ltd. is a Canada-based energy infrastructure company that connects natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) to domestic and global markets. The Company’s segments include Utilities and Midstream. Its Utilities segment owns and operates franchised, rate-regulated natural gas distribution and storage utilities, which includes four utilities that operate across five United States jurisdictions. It Utilities segment also includes storage facilities and contracts for interstate natural gas transportation and storage services, as well as the affiliated retail energy marketing business. Its Midstream segment includes global exports, which includes its two LPG export terminals; natural gas gathering and extraction, and fractionation and liquids handling. Its Midstream segment also consists of natural gas and NGL marketing business, domestic logistics, trucking and rail terminals, and liquid storage capability. Its subsidiaries include Wrangler 1 LLC, WGL Holdings, Inc. and others.


TSX:ALA - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by MyLaughingStockon Jul 31, 2020 7:08am
180 Views
Post# 31348204

Core Utility Assets Continue to Perform Well

Core Utility Assets Continue to Perform WellAltaGas' Q2 EBITDA of $206m was below our estimate of $212m and consensus of $208m (range $200m-$212m). Cash flow was ahead of our expectation, with FFOPS of $0.50 versus our estimate of $0.47. EPS of $0.06 was ahead of our $0.00 estimate largely due to a lower-than-expected depreciation expense, of which $0.04 we view as one-time in nature. Utilities EBITDA for Q2 (seasonally a weak quarter) of $80m was ahead of our $71m estimate. The segment benefited from new rates at Maryland, Virginia, and SEMCO. Partially offsetting this were higher COVID-19 costs and lower retail energy margins. We note that AltaGas' regulatory jurisdictions have initiated proceedings or issued orders relating to the costs associated with COVID-19. With a rate base growth outlook of 8%-10% per year out to 2024, as well as improving ROEs, we see significant earnings growth potential at its utilities. For context, we estimate that WGL earned a 7.0%-7.5% ROE in 2019, which we see improving to ~9% in 2021. This would still be below management's targeted ROE of 9.4% (Exhibit 2), which implies some upside to our estimates. Gas (Midstream) EBITDA of $111m was up 15% y/y but missed our $125m estimate due to lower-than-expected RIPET, Petrogas, and NGL marketing contributions. The Ridley Island Propane Export Terminal (RIPET) loaded seven ships during the quarter (~41 kbpd) and generated $30m of EBITDA (Exhibit 3). This was below our $38m estimate, as average margin of $7.88/bbl was below our $8.50/bbl estimate. We had expected a stronger margin in Q2 due to the reversal of hedging losses in Q1.
Bullboard Posts