BullStockington wrote: https://www.mining.com/copper-price-to-extend-rally-on-signs-of-chinese-panic-buying/ This is a great article on the copper market and what to expect from it the next few months - especially the parellel to copper's recovery after the GFC, which I've been shouting from rooftops about since March...
Copper is looking extremely bullish just on the huge Chinese demand the article talks about and structurally weak supply (further deteriorated by C19 closures) BEFORE you factor in a massive US infra build program which is likely regardless of who wins in November, and a continued push to EV and wind/solar power.
Some of the buyout price assumptions that people throw around that could seem far-fetched at $3 copper, become a lot more reasonable even at $3.50, not to mention $4+.
Ex: Santo Tomas NPV using Caesar Report assumptions and $3.5 copper is around 2.4B USD.
Plug in some back of the envelope (conservative) assumptions of a buyout value of 30-40% of NPV, 1.3 CAD/USD FX, 80% OCO ownership of Santo Tomas, 200M shares, and you're looking at well over C$4/share.
Factor in some grade improvement that drilling will bring, and north of C$5/share doesn't seem far-fetched at all.
Personally I like to try to be a bit conservative and base my expectations on a $3 copper price assumption, but given the outlook for copper, can't help but be excited by the upside.