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Aphria Inc. APHA

Aphria, which is headquartered in Ontario, produces and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis. The company operates through retail and wholesale channels in Canada and internationally. Aphria is a main distributor of medical cannabis to Germany and has operations in over 10 countries outside of Canada. However, it does not have exposure to the U.S. CBD or THC markets due to the constraints of federal prohibition. It has some U.S. exposure through the acquisition of SweetWater, a craft brewer


NDAQ:APHA - Post by User

Post by N00bInvesT0Ron Sep 24, 2020 5:27pm
227 Views
Post# 31617610

N00b Chart Analysis

N00b Chart Analysis

Ticker APHA (NASDAQ) so price is $ USD

In case you haven't notice, the Cannabis sector only correlates negatively with the S & P 500.

Why I'm saying this? When the S&P 500 is red, it is most likely that APHA will also be red but when the S&P 500 is green, it doesn't imply that APHA will be green.

If you're convinced, look at how far S&P 500 is from the Alll Time High (ATH) vs how far APHA is from their ATH.

It can be frustrating to see the market overall having a good day but not your stock. That's why diversification is generally recommended.

Shorts are giving ACB a break and switched to APHA or they are still active in both, would need short Data to answer that question...

Key Supports

We closed above my base of support (4.38 to 4.40$) for those who have been following my post.

Support #1 : Today  Low of the day LOD (4.17$)

Support #2 : 4.11$

When you draw an Horizontal Line on the Daily TimeFrame, you can quickly see that 4.11$ was tested 8 times in the last 3 months and only breaked once. In the chart below, I draw vertical rays to indicate the days it was tested. Red Ray means the candle closed below  4.11$

Open this chart on another page : https://www.tradingview.com/x/MMIZFGvg/

Support #3 : 3.96$

Zoom out to the weekly Timeframe, chart on this page :

https://www.tradingview.com/x/eCh1ch18/

Key Resistance

Resistance #1 : Today High of the day (HOD) 4.35$

Resistance #2 : Yesterday HOD 4.50$


Comments

Closing above 4.40 tomorrow would keep the Weekly Uptrend Alive which is the most important thing for the moment. If we can't do that, we will be entering monthly consolidation where anything above 1.95 is a Monthly Higher Low.

One step at a time not gonna post the chart on the monthly.

The upcoming earnings will give the confirmation of the direction we are heading.

Scenario 1 Good earnings  : Loss of the Weekly Uptrend Fake out and direction make a Higher High or Lower High compared to 6.15 depending of how good the earnings will be and how high the share price will be until earnings

Tomorrow is still on the table to close above 4.40 to keep the Weekly Uptrend Alive

Scenario 2 Bad earnings :  Bear Follow up on the Loss of the Weekly Uptrend + Monthly Consolidation + Monthly Uptrend in Jeopardy.

Just to give you an idea of our peers that are suffering more than APHA  :


 ACB = Daily Downtrend + Weekly Downtrend + Monthly Downtrend

CGC = Daily Downtrend +  Weekly Downtrend + Monthly Uptrend

APHA  = Daily Downtrend + Weekly Uptrend + Monthlly Uptrend

So yeah Technical Analysis you don't care if you are long  and not actively trying to reduce your average share per price but I found it still useful to not buy a company you love fundamentally at the Worst Technical Analysis moment if that makes any sense.

That allows you to have the best average price per share even if you can't time the market, you don't want to buy when bears are in full control and you don't want to short when bulls are in full control even if you think that the company is overvalued like alll the Hedge Funds that lost money trying to short Tesla.

Allright Thanks for reading, don't forget to like so I know that my posts are useful, they take me 1 hour on average, so not gonna invest time if no one is reading + no one cares.  I don't care about the likes, I don't earn money on the likes but it's the only way I can know that I should continue.
 

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