RE:RE:RE:zinc back at 0.15 = what it means and could mean Hi Ilyana, I calculated with 200 USC TC. Spot TC right now is around 120, but its irrelalistic to take these low costs, even 150 is too optimistic. Talking to guys in the sector 250 TC for 2021 is considered "very conservative", most say it ll be around 200. So I took that number = 0.10 USD/lb cheaper production for TV.
Then I added these 0.10 USD/lb again for higher capex in 2021. I again talked to some people and they agreed about around 1 USD/lb (total costs - and yes, before some guys ask again: including interest payments, GA etc) would be realistic for 2021.
What I only calculated very roughly are production numbers for 2021, they might be higher than the number chosen.
Important takeaway is: TV is net profitable at 1.10 and perfectly ok with 1.10 to 1.15 now and in 2021. My assumption that TV will go back to a book value of around 0.50 CAD therefore doesnt need more upside in the price.
But of course we all wont say no to it as with TV, higher profits are not gonna flow out of the company (dividends, etc) but will be reinvested in the RP2 expansion and the repayment of debt = add value for shareholders.
Also, if zinc would stabilize above 1.15, the company will consider reopening Caribou which would bring costs down even more.
So: TV is fine right now plus still a LOT of upside should that breakout materialize.
Ah and just to add that of course my numbers are as I said just estimations. Not only educated guessing, but of course single numbers might defer for other users like @firecracker74, even though I think that he calculates with comparable numbers, but lets just discuss :)