RE:RE:RE:RE:Possible reason for strong Midwest US gas pricesSeppelt thanks for the response.
Seppelt you seem fairly well acquainted with the gas marketing and transportation end of the business.
My post arose due to the recent run-up in prices at the Alliance trading pool. See the table below and checkout the delta from November 2019 $1.79 to $6.46. I was trying to identify a possible reason.
While searching the web I found the article on the shutting in of Bakken associated gas and the move by Canadian producers to AECO and away from Alliance. I also noticed the 200 Mmcf/day drop in Alliance throughput in June 2020. It will be interesting to see what the throughput will be in the Alliance November update. Here is a link to the Alliance throughput graph.
Alliance throughput Any thoughts you can share as to why this maybe happening? Thanks in advance.
| $ | | 10/28/20 | | | | 10/28/19 | |
Natural Gas | | | Close | Change | | | | Close | Change | Close | Close | |
| | | —————- | ———— | | | ————– | ———— | ———— | ————– | |
Daily Spot AECO | (C$/mmbtu) | | 3.313 | 0.137 | | | | 2.930 | 0.383 | 2.137 | 2.222 | |
Daily Spot Diff (H.Hub-AECO) | (US$/mmbtu) | ^ | 0.620 | 0.000 | | | | 0.240 | 0.380 | 0.300 | 0.329 | |
AECO Front Month Nov-2020 | (C$/mmbtu) | | 3.077 | 0.024 | | | | 2.391 | 0.686 | 2.117 | 2.191 | |
AECO 12-month Avg. Futures | (C$/mmbtu) | | 3.006 | 0.024 | | | | 2.031 | 0.975 | 2.343 | 2.276 | |
AECO 2021 Avg. Futures | (C$/mmbtu) | | 3.012 | 0.022 | | | | 1.946 | 1.066 | 2.422 | 2.338 | |
Station 2 | (C$/mmbtu) | | 3.168 | -0.053 | | | | 0.180 | 2.988 | 2.098 | 2.072 | |
Alliance ATP | (C$/mmbtu) | | 6.462 | -0.154 | | | | 1.790 | 4.672 | 2.926 | 2.813 | |
Dawn, ON | (C$/mmbtu) | | 3.714 | -0.120 | | | | 2.910 | 0.804 | 2.390 | 2.530 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Daily Spot Henry Hub | (US$/mmbtu) | ^ | 3.030 | 0.000 | | | | 2.490 | 0.540 | 1.885 | 1.984 | |
H.Hub Front Month Nov-2020 | (US$/mmbtu) | | 2.996 | -0.023 | | | | 2.446 | 0.550 | 2.000 | 2.081 | |
H.Hub 12-month Avg. Futures | (US$/mmbtu) | | 3.100 | -0.008 | | | | 2.414 | 0.686 | 2.494 | 2.478 | |
H.Hub 2021 Avg. Futures | (US$/mmbtu) | | 3.103 | -0.004 | | | | 2.418 | 0.685 | 2.640 | 2.598 |