2022) APHWF

Consumer Defensive Household & Personal Products

Based in Ontario Canada the Apollo Healthcare Corp Apollo is one of the largest private label personal care product manufacturers in North America developing and manufacturing retailer branded and private label products for major North American retailers. Apollos products are sold in tens of thousands of stores across North America and its customer base spans across major North American grocery drug and mass merchandise retailers users as well as wholesale clubs. In addition to private label Apollo also manufactures products on a contract basis for many of its clients.

OTCPK:APHWF - Post by User

Apollo Healthcare Corp Warrants (03/01/2022) > Warrant Value At Strike Price For AHC.wt

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Comment by RTOon Nov 27, 2020 6:29am

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Post# 31987321

RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Warrant Value At Strike Price For AHC.wt

@Ventoux

I read over your warrant fair market value modeling assumptions a couple of times to see where it is flawed. The calculations you are using in your spreadsheet will always show a warrant as "overvalued", thus it will never give you a property buy signal to safely enter that warrant. A lagging indicator if you will. A great example are the AHC warrants. If your fair market valuation is always lower than it should be, you would have never entered the warrants, no undervalued buy signal, thus left the percentage gains from $.005 to $.20 (+4,000%) on the table!? So your showing that the market is always ahead of itself by overvaluating the warrants. When do you get a "real" sell signal
If you never entered the warrant in the forst place. You showed them as overvalued in a previous post as at $.08. Now AHC.wt are at .20 and I bet your STILL showing overvalued "sell". I'm showing undervalued "buy". Lets revisit your theory when we are at $.30 (+50%).
Now that we have covered the present modeling, I wanted to see and compare your theory on future date, price & time assumptions. They again show consistent "sell" signals even at your $.78 assumption, which BTW is still a nice gain from today's $.20, but no "buy" signal means, no candy.
The only time I sell above my fair market value is when the market gets ahead of itself in any given trading day, at which point I sell and hope it gets discounted again to buy or find a better discount on another warrant. The golden rule of warrants is: rinse & repeat, the only thing that matters are the percentages, not dollar amounts.
I respect that you have a model that you believe in and works for you, but it would never work for me because it would never give me a buy signal when it should.
Cheers