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GraniteShares Gold Trust BAR

The investment seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of gold. The Shares are intended to constitute a simple and costeffective means of making an investment similar to an investment in gold.


ARCA:BAR - Post by User

Comment by BCdudeon Nov 28, 2020 9:53pm
283 Views
Post# 31995905

RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Much Prefer

RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Much PreferHi HTNYC1,

Nice to see you here. Great question you ask, but if you don't mind I'd like to include GRN instead of lightspeed as LSPD is a large cap and very different. I'm also not all that familiar with it, so don't want to claim expertise.

My ratio would probably be the following:

KNR -- 50 chips
UGE -- 30 chips
GRN -- 15 chips
MTRX -- 5 chips

I love tight share structures, and both KNR and UGE have been very careful to not dilute shareholders over time. In the long run, this will be hugely impactful to the share price as they expand their businesses.

KNR is in a unique position with biocloud, and at it's current valuation has a tremendous amount of upside even if it's only modestly successful. I also like that KNR has an existing business in the ESG sector that is cash-flow positive. Biocloud is mostly blue sky, and all indications point to it being adopted widely. This might be a unicorn stock.

I'm also a fan of recurring revenue, and UGE and KNR are well along the path of developing those types of stable revenue generators. GRN has potential with its build-own-operate partnerships in the future, but at the moment their sales are one-offs.

A word about MTRX, as I know lots of investors love this one. I remain skeptical, but that might have more to do with my investment approach. I like having numbers to plug and play with, and Rob and his team have been maddeningly elusive about when revenues will come and how much to expect. I notice in their Q3 financials, released yesterday, they didn't have a single dollar of revenue as of September 30th. Also, the ~$1 million of accounts receivable on the books at June 30th is still on the books at Sept 30th. Hmmmm...

It's possible MTRX will be the disruptor that Rob promises, but with no revenue guidance, market cap of $80 million, 106 million shares outstanding, and 35 million low-priced options and warrants to act as an overhang from hell, I can't yet be too excited about MTRX. It's high-risk, high-reward in my view, with an emphasis on the risk.

My two cents.




HTNYC1 wrote: Bcdude. Looks like you and I are on many of the same investments. Interested in your take on this question that I was asked today. If you had 100 chips to allocate for a buy and hold for 2 years across UGE, KNR, MTRX and lightspeed, how would you allocate those 100 chips using today's prices. Others welcome to weigh in of course.


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