RE:RE:TV warrants QuestionKramas is absolutely right and best way of valuing them is to take the Black Scholes method. Only problem is that this works well for very large and stable companies with minimal price swings. One of the inputs into the model is the implied volatility and the higher the volatiliy (this is the case here) the wilder price swings and values you are going to get.
Basic question to ask yourself:
1. do I spend 5.5 cents for a warrant and hold on and then exercise the warrant at 18.5 cents prior to expiration (which I believe is about 20 months out but check on Sedar as the terms are clearly spelled out) or do you just buy a share at 20 cents and hang on?
2. the current premium that you are paying is about 7.5 to 8 cents - in other words the stock would have to move 8 cents for you to be "in the money" and exercise the warrant and you get one share.
I have played warrants in the past as these were all the rage (warrants and rights) and people made and lost fortunes with these. You also realize that the mathematicl formulae and models are just that..projections and the market rarely behaves in this fashion.
I a long holder and I have looked at the warrants but am staying away. Remember those that bought into the last underwriting got 1 share and 1/2 a purchase warrant for 18.5 cents. Again I have not looked into the "hold period" where they cannot sell either warrants or shares but assuming that the perios is over then they can easily sell the shares for 20 cnets and hold the warrants as insurance just in case this moves. Even if it stays at 20 cents they either just break even or make a little bit. Nice, no cost option for the Underwriters and insiders that were in on the underwriting.
My advice is to steer clear and let the pigs slaughter themselves over a few pennies (as even if you hold a million warrants and you make 3 cents thats not much - ie its 30,000 dollars) and look at all the risk you take on..unless of course you bought into the financing whereby the warrants are basically free.
hope this helps.