RE:RE:Major Headwinds I would expect a dividend rather than buybacks. Given the current state of things I would expect one of more of the companies it holds a stake in to be sold. So with relatively low Cap Ex the Nigerian asset should pay for itself. Any remaining funds received from investment sales say ($150 - 300 million) could be paid out in quarterly or special dividends.
low end 150,000,000 / 480,000,000 shares = $.31 per share
$.62 if at the high end
Once the Nigerian asset gets its debt refinanced or long enough down the road it could produce FCF of roughly $.60 a share